Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.291715 0.316085 0.342090 0.371995 0.405549 0.442166 0.485324
2025-06-29 0.245839 0.279868 0.318729 0.366797 0.425219 0.494660 0.584570
2025-07-06 0.213604 0.251136 0.295971 0.354263 0.429233 0.524111 0.656120
2025-07-13 0.199757 0.241299 0.292859 0.362864 0.457562 0.584524 0.773713
2025-07-20 0.188856 0.233339 0.290354 0.370708 0.484345 0.644849 0.899841
2025-07-27 0.178378 0.224589 0.285450 0.374010 0.504219 0.696926 1.021751
2025-08-03 0.165361 0.211221 0.272891 0.364897 0.504408 0.718842 1.098522
2025-08-10 0.153718 0.198772 0.260452 0.354484 0.500985 0.733906 1.165313
2025-08-17 0.144815 0.189453 0.251614 0.348376 0.503174 0.757685 1.251118
2025-08-24 0.137278 0.181533 0.244143 0.343525 0.506557 0.783411 1.344863
2025-08-31 0.130593 0.174401 0.237287 0.338935 0.509662 0.808660 1.442200
2025-09-07 0.126755 0.171144 0.235913 0.342775 0.527176 0.861917 1.609217
2025-09-14 0.119786 0.163075 0.227022 0.334191 0.523011 0.875531 1.696111
2025-09-21 0.114971 0.158012 0.222501 0.332563 0.531285 0.914917 1.854617
2025-09-28 0.108516 0.150126 0.213094 0.321940 0.521911 0.917365 1.923002
2025-10-05 0.106608 0.149058 0.214332 0.329542 0.547344 0.995751 2.211613
2025-10-12 0.104667 0.147812 0.215165 0.336431 0.572115 1.076979 2.538224
2025-10-19 0.102058 0.145365 0.213859 0.339328 0.589187 1.143780 2.848563
2025-10-26 0.097556 0.139697 0.206893 0.331334 0.583021 1.154639 2.983147
2025-11-02 0.093134 0.133979 0.199569 0.322190 0.573572 1.156164 3.087574
2025-11-09 0.089671 0.129674 0.194433 0.316820 0.571681 1.176463 3.268579
2025-11-16 0.086612 0.125907 0.190032 0.312553 0.571768 1.201949 3.481080
2025-11-23 0.083770 0.122386 0.185892 0.308512 0.571961 1.227842 3.708156